Simulation of proposed AV
system in UK applied to 2010 election results |
First-choice
votes polled by candidate who won under AV (percentage of total constituency
votes) |
Second- or third-choice votes from those initially choosing
other parties, re-assigned under AV |
Total
votes picked up by the candidate winning under AV |
Votes from those whose first choice was not the winning
candidate and whose second- or third-choice vote was discarded under AV |
Scottish |
Winning
Candidate (Elected as MP) |
Winning Party |
Constituencies
/ Seats in UK Parliament |
From: To: |
Motherwell
and Wishaw |
[No predicted changes under AV] |
Stirling |
|
|
Number |
% |
Number |
% |
Number |
% |
Number |
% |
Motherwell and Wishaw |
Roy, Frank |
Labour |
23,910 |
61.1% |
0 |
0.0% |
23,910 |
61.1% |
15,213 |
38.9% |
Na h-Eileanan an Iar |
MacNeil, Angus |
SNP |
6,723 |
45.7% |
388 |
2.6% |
7,111 |
48.3% |
7,606 |
51.7% |
Ochil and Perthshire
South |
Banks, Gordon |
Labour |
19,131 |
37.9% |
2,290 |
4.5% |
21,421 |
42.4% |
29,048 |
57.6% |
Orkney and Shetland |
Carmichael, Alistair |
Lib-Dem |
11,989 |
62.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
11,989 |
62.0% |
7,357 |
38.0% |
Paisley and Renfrewshire
North |
Sheridan, Jim |
Labour |
23,613 |
54.0% |
0 |
0.0% |
23,613 |
54.0% |
20,094 |
46.0% |
Paisley and Renfrewshire
South |
Alexander, Douglas |
Labour |
23,842 |
59.6% |
0 |
0.0% |
23,842 |
59.6% |
16,156 |
40.4% |
Perth and Perthshire
North |
Wishart, Pete |
SNP |
19,118 |
39.6% |
5,424 |
11.2% |
24,542 |
50.8% |
23,726 |
49.2% |
Renfrewshire East |
Murphy, Jim |
Labour |
25,987 |
50.8% |
0 |
0.0% |
25,987 |
50.8% |
25,194 |
49.2% |
Ross, Skye and Lochaber |
Kennedy, Charles |
Lib-Dem |
18,335 |
52.6% |
0 |
0.0% |
18,335 |
52.6% |
16,503 |
47.4% |
Rutherglen and Hamilton
West |
Greatrex, Tom |
Labour Co-op |
28,566 |
60.8% |
0 |
0.0% |
28,566 |
60.8% |
18,415 |
39.2% |
Stirling |
McGuire, Anne |
Labour |
19,558 |
41.8% |
5,503 |
11.8% |
25,061 |
53.6% |
21,730 |
46.4% |
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SUMMARY -
SCOTLAND |
Alternative Vote (AV) results for all Scottish
seats if applied to 2010 Election votes |
Total votes cast in Scotland |
Total first-choice winning votes,
all Scottish seats |
Total second- or third-choice
votes re-assigned under AV in Scotland |
Total votes picked up by winning
candidates under AV in Scotland |
Total votes discarded under AV,
all Scottish seats |
2,465,720 |
1,176,226 |
|
95,847 |
|
1,272,073 |
|
1,193,647 |
|
100.0% |
|
47.7% |
|
3.9% |
|
51.6% |
|
48.4% |
|
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|
Results based on simulation program AVOTER (AV Operational Testing, Evaluation and Research) |
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